Top 10 Dumbest Tech Predictions of All Time

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Mr Happy

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Really Dumb quotes:

1. “This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication.†— Western Union internal memo, 1876.


2. A two-for from Big Blue: “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.†— Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943. “The world potential market for copying machines is 5,000 at most,†IBM executives to the eventual founders of Xerox, 1959.


3. “Where a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 18 000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers of the future may have only 1 000 vacuum tubes and perhaps weigh 1½ tons.†— Popular Mechanics, March 1949


4. “I say to you that the VCR is to the American film producer and the American public as the Boston strangler is to the woman home alone.†— Jack Valenti, MPAA president, testimony to the House of Representatives, 1982


5. “Do not bother to sell your gas shares. The electric light has no future.†—Professor John Henry Pepper, Victorian-era celebrity scientist, sometime in the 1870s


6. “Television won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night,†Darryl Zanuck, 20th Century Fox, 1946.


7. “The problem of TV was that people had to glue their eyes to a screen, and that the average American wouldn’t have time for it.â€
− The New York Times, 1939


8. “The subscription model of buying music is bankrupt. I think you could make available the Second Coming in a subscription model and it might not be successful.†Steve Jobs — Rolling Stone, Dec. 3, 2003


9. “Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value.†— Marechal Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre


10. “The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to no one in particular?†— Associates of David Sarnoff responding to the latter’s call for investment in the radio in 1921


Read these earlier. Full article and source
It's weird to think that some are made by people who end up making billions out of it like Number 8 and Steve Jobs and iTunes.
 
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9. “Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value.” — Marechal Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre

At that time it was true. All they had were machine gun mounted airplanes and they fought each other. They had no effect on the war.
 
Wow some really interesting predictions in there. Anyways, we cannot call them stupid or idiotic because it's pretty hard to predict technological progress. We've made a ton of progress technologically very fast.
 
Humans always failed to comprehend their own technological evolution. Do you guys remember the bugs bunny cartoons? One specific episode where the rabbit stayed in the rabbit hole for years, then in large bold font "The year 1990", at the time they predicted by then (1990) there would be hover crafts, aliens and laser guns.

We still do it, famous cosmologists and physicists such as Stephen Hawking and Michio Kaku, predict parallel universe, black holes to be roads back in time, alien species and so on.

Prediction always existed, some even say that all religions are merely fiction, a series of predictions gathered into one or several books.

It's all a miss or hit to be honest, we'll keep predicting over and over until something comes true. That is why I predict that there will be at least one thread locked within 24 hours in at least three forums on the internet. I also predict that someone will order steak from T.G.I, and it will be well done. :P
 
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