This is a thread intended for serious discussions, so try to add something informative! What happens when RapidShare, HotFile, Megaupload or any of the major file hosts disappear or close down? What do you guys think comes next? Or do you think that File Hosts will be around in their current format for some time to come? What about the future of file hosts?
I personally am not sure what comes next. But my best guess is a hybrid between a torrent like P2P system and a file hosting interface. That may sound a little crazy but I think people making the big dollars from file hosting at the moment may want to get away from hosting things in a central location.
I don't however think that the "scene" will ever go back to what it used to be. Now that people have realized that there are methods of making money from file sharing, this will always be the case. In my opinion it's only a matter of time before the RIAA, MPAA or others finally get PayPal to crack and stop allowing subscription services to file hosts. Let's face it, PayPal are probably responsible for 90% of sign ups if not more and that would also be a large amount of their reoccurring member base making monthly payments or quarterly payments for instance. I dare say that a lot of the people who make the payments via PayPal may not even have a Credit Card at all.
I think the RIAA and MPAA will realize that it may make more sense to target all file hosts at once, let's face it they are money hungry bastards... So, someone like PayPal would be the perfect option. This has already happened in one case against HotFile, PayPal is named. But I don't think that PayPal are ready to pull the pin just yet. The revenue from File Hosts would be a considerable amount. Probably tens of millions of dollars a year. And if they get rid of one File Host they likely have to get rid of them all. Will it happen? I don't know, maybe eventually... But not just yet.
If PayPal were to go I imagine someone like Alert Pay wanting to fill that void. It would take a lot of time for users to convert over away from PayPal, but it would slowly happen. Then the cycle would repeat...
I think the major Movie and Music studios need to wake up to themselves though. Think of the amount of people who have 2, 3 or even 4+ subscriptions to file hosts at $10 a month. That's a total of $40 a month or more, that's a pay TV subscription or quite a lot of movie tickets. People are willing to spend money on their entertainment and other needs. It just depends on the format they get it in, how they get it, and how much of it.
I personally am not sure what comes next. But my best guess is a hybrid between a torrent like P2P system and a file hosting interface. That may sound a little crazy but I think people making the big dollars from file hosting at the moment may want to get away from hosting things in a central location.
I don't however think that the "scene" will ever go back to what it used to be. Now that people have realized that there are methods of making money from file sharing, this will always be the case. In my opinion it's only a matter of time before the RIAA, MPAA or others finally get PayPal to crack and stop allowing subscription services to file hosts. Let's face it, PayPal are probably responsible for 90% of sign ups if not more and that would also be a large amount of their reoccurring member base making monthly payments or quarterly payments for instance. I dare say that a lot of the people who make the payments via PayPal may not even have a Credit Card at all.
I think the RIAA and MPAA will realize that it may make more sense to target all file hosts at once, let's face it they are money hungry bastards... So, someone like PayPal would be the perfect option. This has already happened in one case against HotFile, PayPal is named. But I don't think that PayPal are ready to pull the pin just yet. The revenue from File Hosts would be a considerable amount. Probably tens of millions of dollars a year. And if they get rid of one File Host they likely have to get rid of them all. Will it happen? I don't know, maybe eventually... But not just yet.
If PayPal were to go I imagine someone like Alert Pay wanting to fill that void. It would take a lot of time for users to convert over away from PayPal, but it would slowly happen. Then the cycle would repeat...
I think the major Movie and Music studios need to wake up to themselves though. Think of the amount of people who have 2, 3 or even 4+ subscriptions to file hosts at $10 a month. That's a total of $40 a month or more, that's a pay TV subscription or quite a lot of movie tickets. People are willing to spend money on their entertainment and other needs. It just depends on the format they get it in, how they get it, and how much of it.